After hitting a one-year high of $46.24 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $33.00 in March. This morning, VZ opened at $38.47. So far today the stock has hit a low of $38.09 and a high of $38.72. As of 12:10, VZ is trading at $38.67, down $0.22 (-0.6%). The chart for VZlooks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $42.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in ten weeks as long as VZ is below $42.50 at July expiration. Verizon would have to rise by more than 9% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q), a company whose competitors include Verizon (NYSE: VZ), AT&T (NYSE: T) and Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), issued its Q1 results on Tuesday, and they weren't inspiring to me at all. Revenues declined 1% to $3.4 billion. Net income took a dive to the tune of 25%, coming in at $0.09 per diluted share. Those are year-over-year declines -- the sequential-quarter comparisons also told a tale of decline. Adjusting the earnings for some tax considerations did, however, yield a net-income increase of almost 6%.
But then there's one of my favorite measures of growth -- free cash flow. Qwest didn't hit this metric. Free cash, on an adjusted basis, was $56 million this time around versus $156 million last time around (I give Qwest credit for increasing its operating cash flow, however). Qwest was able to carve out some double-digit gains in its broadband and video subscribers, but that seemed to be of little help right now.
Overall, I came away from the earnings report -- which told a complex story of adjustments, EBITDA, and such -- not wanting to add this stock to my watch list. According to Briefing.com, Qwest missed expectations by a penny, and its revenues failed to go beyond what Wall Street was looking for. Considering the low price of the shares, and the fact that the dividend yield isn't one I'd chase, I'll feel free to leave this one alone.
Disclosure: I do not own shares in any company mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
So The Wall Street Journalreports today -- according to its favorite "people familiar with the situation" sentence -- that wireless provider Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) is considering spinning off or selling its Nextel unit. This is when I hear the screeching sound of a needle scraping a record. Say what? Should we play that again?
I guess I shouldn't really be that surprised since the $35 billion acquisition of Nextel Communications Inc. in 2005 has always seemed, to say it mildly, challenging. This would be, as the Journal puts it, "a dramatic acknowledgment" that the merger has actually been a failure.
Well, only Monday we heard that Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) may be interested in Sprint. Could it be that either Deutsche Telekom demanded such an action, or that Sprint management decided such an action could entice DT to indeed go forward with an offer (despite the probable problems such a merger could face, as Jonathan Berr outlined in his post Monday)? Without Nextel, Sprint would rid itself of much debt. It is also considered to have better handsets and fewer dropped calls, making it a more attractive target.
Shares of Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) are rising on a Wall Street Journal (subscription required) report that Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) is poised to make a bid for the wireless telecommunication company. If the report is accurate, Sprint's long suffering shareholders should do as the Steve Miller Band song suggests "take the money and run" because the deal may not happen.
For Sprint, though, this may be its only hope. Sprint shares have slumped almost 40% this year as the Overland Park Kansas-based company tried in vain to gain marketshare against larger rivals including Verizon and AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T). The commercials starring the company's affable CEO Daniel Hesse haven't helped much either. Remember when Hesse was named CEO last December, board member Irvine O. Hockaday Jr. remarked that Hesse "has the board's full support to take decisive actions necessary to improve our performance."
But as Bloomberg News points out, analysts argue that integrating the Deutsche Telekom and Sprint Nextel networks wouldn't be easy. Moreover, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security may not look kindly on a foreign company taking over a U.S. telecom provider for national security reasons, the news service notes.
Even so, the arguments for the merger are so compelling that it might be worth the risk.
This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.
"I'm like Ma Bell, I got the ill communication." -- Beastie Boys
When considering these two particular companies, it is important to note their roots as offspring of the famous "Ma Bell" network. The Bell System, which has produced the most complex ongoing series of mergers and break-ups in the history of the United States, is the origin of the companies that are now AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), as well as competitor Qwest Communications International (NYSE: Q). A lot has changed since those early times -- remember, after all, that the second "T" in AT&T stood for Telegraph. Now phones are the latest devices to be made supercomputers. AT&T has its exclusive deal with the Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone, while Verizon slings the Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) BlackBerry.
Since wireless is the way of the future, the wireless divisions of these companies is the most hotly contested, and the focus of this "Battle of the Brands." It is important to note that despite Verizon Wireless bearing solely Verizon's name, it is not owned by just them, it is a 55%-45% joint venture between Verizon and Vodafone Group (NYSE: VOD). It is also important to note that AT&T Mobility is the service formerly known as Cingular, which was acquired by AT&T in 2006 when it bought BellSouth for $86B.
Video is available on a number of small devices including the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPod and several Verizon (NYSE: VZ) phones. Verizon even offers mobile TV.
AT&T (NYSE: T) doesn't want to miss out on the opportunity. It will launch its own mobile TV product. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "The service, which will be available in 58 markets, including most big cities, will offer programs from several major TV networks, including CBS, Comedy Central, NBC and Fox." As the paper points out, the phones set up to carry TV are expensive and the service costs $15 a month.
Video is not doing too well on phones and other portable devices. The reasons are clear, even if the people at the phone companies do not want to hear them. Video is hard to watch on a one-inch square screen. Viewers may be able to hear the dialog but a video of "The Matrix" can't look good without the picture detail.
The other reason that cellular TV is unlikely to work is that cellular service in the US is still fairly poor. Dropped calls are a part of the life of the cellular phone consumer.
It is one thing to lose a call and have to redial. It is another to drop a signal in the middle of your favorite program. The cellular companies are just going to make people mad.
Cablevision (NYSE: CVC) is considering buying Long Island newspaper Newsday. Jared Kushner, a rich young publisher who owns the small weekly The New York Observer may also be involved. As far any anyone knows, the Observer has never made any money.
According to Reuters, the bid would be above the $580 million already offered by New York Daily News owner Mort Zuckerman and Rupert Murdoch's News Corp (NYSE: NWS), which owns the New York Post.
Cablevision's board has already hurt its shareholders. The company's controlling shareholders, the Dolans, made a cash offer of $36.26 for the company in mid-2007. That was just before cable companies began to report weaker earnings due to increasing competition from phone operators like Verizon (NYSE:VZ). CVC now sells for $23,
There are no savings for Cablevision if it buys a newspaper. If it makes an offer in partnership with the Observer, the NY-based paper is so tiny that any cost cutting would be meaningless.
The reasons behind the Post and Daily News offers have some sense to them. By combining with another large daily paper which has overlapping geographic distribution, the chances of taking out tens of millions of dollars in costs per annum are excellent.
Putting a cable company with a daily newspaper does not make Cablevision shareholders a dime. With the newspaper industry faltering, it may actually cost them a great deal of money.
Biggest Stock Losers Since the market slump began six months ago, U.S. companies have bled away trillions of dollars in value. 80% of companies in the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index have fallen in value, according to data provider Capital IQ. Here's a damage report. The biggest loser is Bear Stearns which lost $16.7 billion in value. Other big losers include National City Bank, Ambac, CIT, Countrywide, E*Trade, WaMu, Sprint Nextel & Freddie Mac. The Stock Market's Biggest Losers
6 Ways to Buy Checking 'Float' Time Is your bank speeding money out of your checking account faster than you can put it in? Do you feel like someone just set your financial hamster wheel on fast-spin? Welcome to the new reality of check "float" -- or lack thereof. Float refers to the time it takes for money to leave your checking account. Nowadays, it's harder to buy extra time to pay your bills. Here are six moves you can make today to reclaim some lost "float" time. 6 ways to buy checking 'float' time -Bankrate.com
Kirk Kerkorian's Tracinda Corp. is planning to offer $8.50 per share for up to 20 million shares of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), a 13.3% premium over Friday's close. Tracinda now owns 100 million Ford shares, or 4.7% of the outstanding stock, which would increase to 5.6% when the offer is completed. Ford shares climbed over 6.5% in premarket trading. The deal, announced recently, is helping stock futures' upward movement.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) reported a 9.8% rise in its first-quarter earnings as its wireless division attracted more customers than other carriers. Excluding items, earnings were 61 cents per shares, inline with estimates. Revenue rose 5.5% to $23.8 billion, also inline with estimates. VZ shares are up 1.9% in premarket trading.
According to The New York Post, Barry Diller and Liberty Media (NASDAQ: LINTA) Chairman John Malone are continuing to talk about "a deal that would trade one or more of IAC Interactive (NASDAQ: IACI)'s assets for Liberty's ownership stake in IAC." Diller is also "expected to meet with his board this week to restart the process of breaking up his company into five separate pieces."
Stock futures got a boost this morning from a possible $22 billion deal as Buffett's Berkshire and Mars consider buying Wrigley. Also in on investors' mind is this week's Federal Reserve meeting and rate decision as well as oil nearing $120 a barrel again.
U.S. stocks finished mixed on Friday, with the Dow industrials rising 42 points, or 0.33%, and the S&P 500 up 9 points, or 0.65%. The Nasdaq composite, however, found itself in the red following a cautious outlook from Microsoft the day before, and finished the day down almost 6 points, or 0.25%.
Without much economic news today, investors will focus on the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee two-day meeting starting Tuesday. On Wednesday, Fed chairman Bernanke will announce the policy decided and most economist expect a quarter point rate cut, but also for the Fed to halt the cuts after that as inflationary pressures have been rising.
Also, attention will be on oil prices, which once again hit an all-time high of $119.93 a barrel Monday. A refinery strike closed a pipeline system that delivers a third of Britain's North Sea oil to refineries in the U.K. as well as supply outages in Nigeria have caused oil to climb again despite the strengthening dollar.
Another big new item this morning, and one that helped boost sentiment is that of Mars and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) nearing a deal to buy chewing gum giant Wm. Wrigley Jr. (NYSE: WWY) for more than $22 billion, according to The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times. Wrigley, which has a market capitalization value of roughly $13.6 billion, is seeing its shares climbing over 23% in premarket trading.
PDUFA date for Genentech, Inc. (NYSE: DNA) and Roche Holding Ltd. (OTC: RHHBY)'s supplemental Biologics License Application for Herceptin for label expansion to include AC followed by docetaxel in treatment of adjuvant HER2+ breast cancer.
PDUFA date for Shire plc (NASDAQ: SHPGY) and New River Pharma's supplemental New Drug Application for Vyvanse (NRP-104) treatment of Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disordre, or ADHD, in adult patients 18-55 years old; the drug is already approved for pediatric ADHD ages 6-12.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) to report Q earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 9:00am.
Tuesday, April 29
Two-day FOMC meeting beginning at 8:30am.
PDUFA date for Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK)'s New Drug Application for Cordaptive (MK-0524A) adjunctive therapy to diet for treating elevated LDL Cholesterol, low HDL Cholesterol and elevated triglycerides levels.
PDUFA date for Sucampo Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCMP)'s supplemental New Drug Application for dose of 8mg treatment of Irritable Bowel Syndrome with Constipation; already approved for Chronic Idiopathic Constipation at 24ug dosage.
BP plc (NYSE: BP) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 10:15am.
United States Steel Company (NYSE: X) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 2:00pm.
It seems like an inevitable trend – that is, large companies finding ways to cut costs by offloading non-core functions. And one of the leading outsourcers is EDS (NYSE: EDS).
However, the space is highly competitive – and unpredictable. For example, EDS had to deal with the termination of a major customer, Verizon (NYSE: VZ).
But, as seen with the latest Q1 report, EDS is getting traction. Profits came to $62 million, or 12 cents per share as revenues increased from $5.22 billion to $5.37 billion. There was also a 66% increase in signed contracts to $5.6 billion.
After all, EDS was able to snag mega contracts with Royal Dutch Shell and the Infocomm Development Authority of Singapore. In fact, there were 12 contracts in excess of $100 million.
EDS is also getting some growth with its integration services for SAP (NYSE: SAP) applications. Actually, the company is going to do the same with Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) software. Oh, and EDS is a key partner for Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) CRM offering.
Interestingly enough, the slowing US economy is actually helping. That is, companies – as well as governments -- need to find a way to cut costs. So, why not go offshore?
Amdocs Limited (NYSE: DOX) provides customer relationship management, sales and billing software used primarily by telecommunications service firms. It also sells publishing software for generating print and online directories and offers a variety of outsourced communications facility management services. Clients include AT&T (NYSE: T), Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) and Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ).
Investors were pleased last week, when Amdocs reported Q2 EPS of 58 cents and revenues of $774.3 million. The Street had been looking for 57 cents and $761.7 million. The CEO noted particular strength in the managed services businesses. The firm also guided Q3 EPS to 59-61 cents (59 cent consensus), Q3 revenues to $790-$805 million ($784.36M consensus), FY08 EPS to $2.31-$2.37 ($2.35 consensus) and FY08 revenues to $3.09-$3.15 billion ($3.1B consensus). Wedbush Morgan subsequently reiterated its "strong buy" rating on the issue (tgt = $42) and Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its "buy" (tgt = $45)
Hottest Stocks of 2008 (so far) Some surprising names have performed well this year--and they have room to run. They include Allied Irish Banks, Home Depot, Lowe's, American Express, Time Warner Cable, Vulcan Materials and Verizon. The Hottest Stocks This Year - Morningstar Stock Strategist
Worst Places for Homeowner's Debt It's no secret that homeowners with subprime mortgages have taken a beating. Next up: those who have combined their mortgages with home equity loans, second loans or both. These combinations spell especially bad news for homeowners with the worst city being Sacramento. Other cities with high homeowner debt include San Diego, Washington DC and Colorado Springs. Worst Cities For Homeowner Debt - Forbes.com
Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) shares are falling after competitor Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) announced it will collaborate with Clearwire (NASDAQ: CLWR) to form a $14.55 billion communications company. The new company will be named Clearwire, and will establish a mobile network based on the emerging WiMAX standard, which VZ has declined to adopt. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on VZ.
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The Wal-Mart Weekly: Examining shareholder resolutions, Part 2
Earnings expectations for JC Penney, Nordstrom, Macy's, Abercrombie and others
Comfort Zone Investing: Financial stocks: Is the worst over yet?
